Democrats edge out incumbent Republican in key swing state poll

Democrats Gain Ground in Michigan Swing District

A recent poll shows Democratic candidates moving ahead of incumbent Republican Representative Tom Barrett in Michigan's 7th congressional district, which includes Lansing, the state capital. This district had previously supported President Donald Trump.

Context of Democratic Momentum

Following a strong showing in recent elections across the U.S., including key wins in New York's mayoral race, Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial contests, and California's redistricting efforts, Democrats are aiming to expand their influence in vital swing states ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Michigan's Political Landscape

Michigan is a crucial swing state won by President Donald Trump in the 2024 election.
In the state’s congressional delegation, 7 of 13 representatives are Republicans, and 6 are Democrats.
Both U.S. senators representing Michigan are Democrats.

Importance of House Control

Currently, Republicans hold a narrow 219-213 majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, making every seat critical for determining which party controls Congress.

Traditionally, the party out of the White House gains seats in midterm elections.

District Details

Michigan’s 7th district, home to approximately 700,000 residents, voted for Trump in 2024. Tom Barrett, a Republican, won the seat in the 2024 election and has held office since.

Outlook for 2026 Midterms

Democrats nationally aim to secure more seats in the upcoming 2026 elections to potentially take control of Congress and provide a check on President Trump’s administration moving forward.

Summary: Democrats are advancing in key Michigan districts, challenging Republican incumbents amid broader efforts to shift Congressional control in the 2026 midterms.

Newsweek — 2025-11-06